Nevertheless, among these hostilities, Turkey has been left relatively unscathed by its NATO allies. Greco-Turkish tensions in the Aegean almost erupted into war in the same year after Greek and Turkish frigates nearly collided over drilling disputes, forcing the U.S. to step in and push for de-escalation and negotiations. Turkeys S-400 Purchase and Implications for Turkish Relations with NATO. NATO allies are regarded as unreliable due to their perceived support of the July 15, 2016, coup attempt that targeted President Erdoan, whereas Russia swiftly declared its support for Erdoan. Domestic concerns related to foreign policy are also voiced by analysts close to the government. I am looking for any info on this topic. About 10 years ago, you couldnt swing a dead cat in Washington and not hit somebody who wouldnt say, Oh, Turkeys a great ally Now everyones mad at Turkey, Cook said. NATO includes the U.S. and Canada, as well as dozens of nations in Europe. The Turkish administration expected tomake a grand bargain with President Donald Trump when he was elected into office; however, the prospects of using S400s as a bargaining chip to bring about meaningful results are limited. Turkey is a member of NATO but also maintains economic and military industry ties with Russia. S-400s could be an important bargaining chip to reach concessions on these three major disagreements, especially considering the strong reactions of the United States to Turkeys previous deal attempt for Chinese missiles. Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff 400 South Orange Avenue This article explains that Turkey is increasing military assistance to the Ukraine while also pressing Russia to use diplomacy to avoid conflict. As the fragility of Turkeys economy has become more apparent, the United States has relied on more severe measures. Stiftung Wissenschaft undPolitik, 2019. These concerns were well-founded, as Amnesty International reported cases of Turkish-backed militias perpetrating war crimes in the heavily Kurdish community of Afrin. Thats not the actual question our February resolution asksits this: Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Government circles point at US reluctance to supply necessary high-tech weapons to Turkey (e.g., US Congress restrictions) and to the strict control over their use and transfer of technology. Con Turkey and Nato are no longer aligned, even if they wont admit it (2022). (The Atlantic), Flashpoints in U.S.-Turkey Relations in 2021 (CAP), How Far Can Turkey Challenge NATO and the EU in 2020? Turkey also seems to have reached the limits of its bargaining power, as the United States is placing more weight on punitive measures. Separately, at the United Nations Security Council, the NATO allies France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium, and Poland introduced a statement condemning Turkeys incursion into Syria. Find out more in my very long-winded 2-hour lecture on YouTube. There is optimism in NATo circles that after the election, things may change. Dr Mehmet Yegin is a Visiting Fellow in the Americas Division at SWP. (2022). Turkey controls the flow of Middle Eastern refugees into European NATO, a crucial role whereby a friendly Turkey can help stabilize its neighbors or an unfriendly Turkey could unleash a human flood into Europe. NOVEMBER-DECEMBER LD & PF COURSE REGISTRATION, To do so, please follow these instructions, NATO-TURKEY: AN AMBIGUOUS RELATIONSHIP IN AN UNPREDICTABLE SECURITY DOMAIN, Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat, Turkey and Nato are no longer aligned, even if they wont admit it, Turkeys Response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis, TURKEYS NATO MEMBERSHIP IS AN ASSET FOR BOTH TURKEY AND THE ALLIANCE, Turkey remains as indispensable member of NATO for 69 years, As NATO turns focus to China, embracing Turkey becomes challenge, Turkey-NATO ties are problematic, but there is one bright spo, Turkey and NATO: A Relationship Worth Saving, TURKEYS CRISIS WITH THE WEST: HOW A NEW LOW IN RELATIONS RISKS PARALYZING NATO, US, NATO have strong interest in keeping Turkey close, says Blinken, Turkey Urges Russia to Drop One-Sided NATO Demands, Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff. NATO membership Lastly, Turkey would not want to give up the NATO nuclear umbrella, given that some of its neighbors possess (Russia) or are striving for the capability of developing (Iran) nuclear weapons. The question is whether these confrontations are a prelude to the end of Turkeys NATO membership. Turkey makes essential contributions to NATO operations and activities. Turkeys president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is an Islamist strongman who has been pulling away from NATO and leaning toward Russia. Day by day Turkey looks less like an ally and more like All hope would not be lost for Sotckholm, as Ulgen doesnt believe Erdogan would block Swedens membership forever, particualrly given how annoyed it has made other NATO allies and the risk of economic impact as a result, particuarlly from the US. Turkeys purchase of a Russian S-400 air defense missile system has raised questions concerning Turkeys alliance with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) andthe countrys future intentions. Turkeys membership in NATO quelled the long cycle of conflicts and wars with Greece, also a NATO member. Russia, Turkey, Iran, Syria Meet In Moscow: Whats Afoot? - Forbes On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. As a NATO member, Turkey can rely on deterrence that discourages regional adversaries from engaging in a full-scale military campaign against Turkey. The Swedes themselves told the Turkish officials that they cannot do much until June 1, when the amendments enter into force, the person said. NATO has stood strong before against a Soviet Union that was stronger and possessed more influence than the threat posed by Russia today. (NATO image). As NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said recently, We fully anticipate that Sweden will be a member of NATO by the time of the Vilnius Summit in July. But whether Erdogan stays in power, and by how much, may determine the next steps for Swedens bid. As Turkey continues to stoke the fires of ongoing tensions, the U.S. must make clear that it will not fight Erdogan's wars under the obligation of NATO defense if these disputes erupt beyond Erdogan's control. Turkeys Turkic world ambitions face reality check in Kazakhstan, Turkey is becoming a problem and NATO should pay attention, Turkey is creeping into Russias orbit and NATO is worried, Turkish Aggression Is NATOs Elephant in the Room, For Biden and NATO, Turkey is a Headache Thats Here to Stay, EXCLUSIVE Turkey pushed NATO allies into softening outrage over Belarus plane, diplomats say, Modernizing NATO Requires Dealing With Turkey, Universal Basic Income: Understanding the Debate, Vocabulary Related to Debating a Universal Basic Income, Universal Basic Income Affirmative and Negative Evidence, Resolved: The United States Federal Government should ban the collection of personal data through biometric recognition technology (Release), The Republic of India Should sign the Artemis Accords. How does Turkey-Azerbaijan military alliance fit into Russias demands for NATO? While not discounting the points of tension in Syria and Libya, the most glaring flashpoint for possible conflict is Turkey's enduring commitment to the defense of Azerbaijan against Armenia, through training Azerbaijani officers and supplying military equipment. Turkeys geographic location and strong military makes it the anchor of NATOs southern flank against Russian aggression. While on opposing sides in Syria, before the talks, Erdogan nevertheless described Turkish military cooperation with Russia as "of utmost importance," alluding to what the U.S. already knows: Turkey does not feel constrained by its NATO responsibilities. However, NATO can only work effectively if it maintains legitimacy and unity in its ideals and goals goals which Turkey has failed to honor. But a closer look suggests deeper waters. Besides, confrontation with the West delivers a rallying effect for President Erdoan and provides an excuse for economic downturn in domestic politics. Turkey is becoming a problem and NATO should pay attention (2021). GENERAL ATOMICS AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS, INC. Countdown to 2027: Where to Start Implementing the Zero Trust Strategy for the Department of Defense. Turkey should also be able to explain its allies that its ties with Russia will not weaken its commitment to NATO. The only explanation left for the purchase is the possibility that President Tayyip Erdoan may be seeking a domestic rally effect via a confrontation with the United States to prevent possible challengers to his leadership from gaining momentum. Comment * document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "ac5dad2c77c59c582289e0d9616cc394" );document.getElementById("h3a3b068d5").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); The Journal encourages a variety of views. Cevikoz said in a parliamentary address in March that his party respects the steps Sweden has taken to address Turkish concerns. Turkey provided military and intelligence support to U.S. operations that destroyed the ISIS terrorist caliphate.. Turkey The expulsion or suspension of a state would be an unprecedented act, and without a specific clause to trigger suspension or expulsion, excluding Turkey becomes difficult. Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. WebTurkeys utility as a NATO member is one of many reasons the organization has been reluctant to distance itself. Results of recent local elections and the rerun of the Istanbul mayoral elections have turned attention to domestic politics in Turkey. Sweden's NATO membership hangs in the balance with Turkey's In response, the Turkish minister of defense voiced Turkeys disagreement over the severity of risks of using S400s and F35s together and added that the US sanctions should target its enemies rather than an ally such as Turkey. NATOs Turkey Ties Must Change (2019). Although the article does not argue that Turkey should not be part of NATO, it identifies many ways that Turkey is undermining Western security. These weapons are not like Bolshevik rifles used in Turkeys Independence War after World War One. Unfortunately, there is little sign of improvement in global peace and stability. This article argues NATO/Turkey support for Azerbaijan deters Russia in Azerbbaijan. Turkey insists that the Northern Cyprus Turkish Republic, unrecognized by the international community, gives them rights to access sources of natural gas within Greeces established exclusive economic zone. Meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, Recep Tayyip Erdoan (President of Trkiye), Magdalena Andersson (Prime Minister of Sweden) and Sauli Niinist (President of Finland). Nonetheless, a break with NATO is unlikely, as alliance dependence is still applicable for both Turkey and other members. Without elaborating, Erdogan has said Turkey will do what is necessary as a NATO member in the event of a Russian invasion. Sweden played an active role in the earthquake donors conference as the president of the Council of EU, and delivered a substantial aid package to Turkey, he said. Finland was a bit of collateral, the issues with Sweden are real.. Indeed, Erdogan is beginning to align Turkey with Russia, buying Russian military equipment over U.S. objections. EXCLUSIVE Turkey pushed NATO allies into softening outrage over Belarus plane, diplomats say (2021). second-largest standing military force in NATO, Greek and Turkish frigates nearly collided, SCOTUS Now Just Another Congressional Committee, Trump Ramps up Attacks on DeSantis: 'Dropping Like a Rock', Russian Strikes on Pavlohrad Aim to Hamper Ukraine's Counteroffensive, Greg Abbott Criticized for Response to Texas Shooting: 'A New Low', Democrat Sold First Republic Stock, Bought JP Morgan Before Collapse, Conservative Influencers Struggle With Countering Biden's Messaging. A February article in the pro-government Daily Sabah ran through a litany of issues with the alliance: Turkey, wrote the papers politics editor, Seyma Nazli Grbz, is the second-largest military in the alliance, is a key partner in Afghanistan and elsewhere, hosts NATO initiatives around its own territory, and contributed more than $100 million in 2018. When Turkey invaded Cyprus in 1974 following a Greece-backed military coup, the two allies came into direct conflict; in fact, Greece left NATO over it, before later rejoining. It will not hesitate to pursue the path most closely aligned with its own interests, no matter where it lies: in the West or Russia. Turkey fought alongside the U.S. during the Korean War (1950-1953). Chapin LibGuides: Debate: this month's topic : turkey and nato Registration or use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. In Turkey, government circles primarily cite political reasons in justifying the purchase of S400 air defense missiles from Russia when they could have purchased alternatives from NATO members. RELATED: UK denies its in talks with Turkey over submarine construction, despite Erdogan comments. How does Turkey-Azerbaijan military alliance fit into Russias demands for NATO? If the Alliance believes that Erdogan will exploit NATO to achieve his own expansionist goals, then NATO should suspend or expel Turkey to ensure the integrity of the organization. During the early Cold War, Turkey agreed to basing U.S. nuclear bombers and IRBMs on its territory, making Turkey a nuclear target for the USSR. This article explains difficult balancing act the Turkey is trying to play with the Ukraine and argues the provision of drones will not deter Russia in the Ukraine and could cause them to attack. And because Swedens bid for NATO membership is being blocked by Turkey and Hungary, the country is hesitant to deplete its defences. Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan addresses Parliament. Turkey has never deviated from the NATO policy in together-adjust together-out together. I am a beginner debater and I have briefs, If these same NATO allies are now flirting with Putin unapologetically, the U.S. should adjust the extent of its obligation to those whose interests lie opposite of American interests. Significantly, even Turkeys controversial invasion of Cyprus in 1974 did not trigger a war with Greece, in no small part because both are NATO members. From bad to worse: Student misbehavior rises further since return of in-person Two hospitals may have violated federal law in denying woman an emergency Federal judge rules Pennsylvania school district must allow After School Satan McConnell insists hes sitting out debt talks to disbelief. @gmail.com. Turkish politicians should avoid further tarnishing the image of the alliance if they want NATO and allied members to highlight Turkeys role in the defense organization. PF: Feb 2022 Topic: Turkey & NATO : Debate - Reddit Yet Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel and other Middle East allies all have legitimate fear of Iran developing nuclear missiles, so threatened nuclear proliferation by Turkey and others may be a sign of U.S. failure to uphold its alliance obligations through credible extended nuclear deterrence and other means. Turkey has chosen its trajectory. Defense Department organizations have four years to deploy seven pillars, including 45 core capabilities of zero trust. In an interview with NATO Review in 2012 marking 60 years of Turkey being in NATO, thenTurkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said that in joining the alliance, Turkey had made its direction, and its security, the same as the Wests. He went on: This was not a decision Turkey took only in 1952. All the arguments share three intersections: having closer relations with Russia, thereby making Turkey more autonomous vis--vis NATO; using this as a bargaining chip; and/or making the purchase for domestic purposes. NATO membership Your email address will not be published. Instead, it will generate a dual dependency characterized by vulnerability to Russia and an increased need for assurances from NATO. Hence the questions now about whether the alliance is even worth it. But as NATO begins to reorient itself in a world where China, not Russia, is the largest military competitor, having Turkey present as a fully contributing member is more essential than ever. As a country with a Muslim-majority population, Turkey provides political legitimacy to NATO missions in Muslim countries, as seen in Afghanistan and Libya. The MQ-9B SeaGuardian manufactured by San Diego-based General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. (GA-ASI) is tailor-made to support the U.S. Navy, its allies, and partners against peer or near-peer forces. There is one region, however, where Turkey can help NATO efforts: the Black Sea. Two U.S. presidential administrations running have now sided with Kurdish fighters in Syria tied to the PKK over Turkeys strenuous objections. Lets not say Westernuniversal values, which are democracy, human rights, and core values of human rights based on the rule of law. Turkey was even negotiating for membership in the European Union. To be clear, Turkey has benefitted immensely from NATO membership. Turkey can be a valuable member who provides geostrategic security due to its proximity to Russia, but that same proximity creates a vulnerability in the alliance if Erdogan acts against the will of NATO members. Trkiyes Relations with NATO - Ministry of Foreign Affairs Following the purchase of Russian Anti-Aircraft missile systems, the United States removed Turkey from the multinational F-35 program and withdrew from its sales agreement with Turkey over fears that Russian forces would now have access to the next generation aircraft. Since its annexation in 2014, the Crimean Peninsula has become a Russian military fortress. Look again at the line-up: Turkey is the odd one out and the sole Nato member, ranged against a united bloc of its rivals. But what happens if Erdogan retains the presidency? The White House released a statement on the decision claiming that Turkey's purchase rendered "continued involvement with the F-35 impossible" as "the F-35 cannot coexist with a Russian intelligence collection platform." However the government would be inclined to approve it because they would like to make a fresh beginning with NATO and the west, he added. TURKEYS CRISIS WITH THE WEST: HOW A NEW LOW IN RELATIONS RISKS PARALYZING NATO (2020). Imagine the threat to U.S. and Israeli interests if Turkey leaves NATO and becomes another Islamist rogue state like Iran. Turkeys NATO membership and its relations with Russia makes it uniquely capable of easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. In October 2017, the United States suspended the issuance ofvisas to Turkish citizens due to a dispute over the incarceration of US diplomatic personnel in Turkey. Turkey has chosen its trajectory. The strikes left 34 people injured, including three children, and caused widespread damage. There are scores of news reports in the Western media and commentaries released by Western think tanks questioning Turkeys place in the alliance. Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat (2020). Since Sunday, however, the dynamic seems to have shifted, and Trumpwho has been sharply critical of the NATO alliance himself, and who has touted his administrations achievements against ISISopted to take a NATO partners side over the Kurdish forces who did so much to help defeat the Islamic State. Tensions have boiled over between Turkey and NATO member-states as a result of it, it has fostered a divide between the US congress and president, and Turkey finds itself accumulating greater independence from NATO through the system itself and its many acts of strategic defiance. For years and continuing today, Turkish forces have participated in NATO peacekeeping in Bosnia and Kosovo. Seeking more autonomy in the international arena and making sovereign decisions concerning weapon purchases unite people behind Erdoan. In some cases Turkey is even mentioned as a kind of non-NATO country. oDemocracy: Turkey doesnt have fair & free electionsin fact, theres been large political purges aimed at cleansing the ranks. NATOs entire staff of diplomats, military officers and employees are these days waiting excitedly to move to the alliances new headquarters. From NATOs perspective, an active media and social media campaign to highlight Turkeys longstanding contributions to the alliance is a must. Moscow has significantly increased its military presence in a region that Russian President Vladimir Putin considers the centerpiece of Russias power projection into the Mediterranean. Turkey and NATO's Troubled Relationship - The Atlantic And this could be politically enough.. In 2019, after years of toeing the line between cozy relations with Russia and the West, Turkey appeared to put the death knell in its NATO credibility, purchasing Russian-made S-400 defense systems, booting Turkey from the F-35 joint strike fighter program. Over time, siding with terrorists rather than Turkey became a pattern for many NATO member countries, particularly the U.S., Grbz wrote. It is of great importance for us to continue by strengthening Turkey-Russia relations every day." WebWeigh this round on whether or not Turkeys membership in NATO provides for the Common Defense of the group because as NATO finds: NATOs essential and enduring purpose is to safeguard the freedom and security of Turkeys combination of military firmness and diplomatic sobriety offers important capabilities for NATO as it struggles to deter further Russian aggression against Ukraine. This article argues that on-balance Turkey has been a strong ally and that its membership in NATO should continue. Turkey has along-term policy of participating in the international organizations that Greece joins in order to maintain parity. As for that whole democratic-values thing, the military stepped in to run the country about every decade or so. President Trump is right to try to accommodate Turkeys legitimate security interests on the Syrian border, while protecting the Kurds, in order to keep Turkey in NATO. Turkey has NATO's second-largest standing army and is centrally located in a strategically significant region, which makes it an indispensable ally. Rather, NATO is an important asset for Turkey, even in developing its relations with Russia, as membership eases the threat of domination by Moscow. Russia is scheduled to deliver S-400s to Turkey in July 2019. The views expressed in this article are the writer's own. Turkey between NATO and Russia: The Failed Balance His professional career has consisted of diverse experiences in law and lobbyist firms, both in the United States and Ireland. He received his Bachelors in International Affairs and Political Science at Florida State University. This button displays the currently selected search type. Contention 1 is Alliances are not meant to be treated as sacred bonds of a covenant. The latter may create a path dependency for Turkey, which may become more reliant on the Russian defense industry. US, NATO have strong interest in keeping Turkey close, says Blinken (2021). ''Turkey is a valuable NATO ally,'' says NATO Chairman The Alliance must now decide if appeasing Turkeys aggressive foreign policy could lead to more conflict. The old HQ, which has served the alliance for the past 50 years, recently hosted NATO foreign ministers for the last time, just days before the entire relocation begins. It is the only NATO member state in the Middle East, bordering Syria and Iraq, near Lebanon and Israel, a region that has been and continues to be the crucial crossroads of empire and history since biblical times. Turkey did have an ally on its side there. At the time, President Harry Truman offered membership to both as a way to contain Communist expansionGreeces Western-backed government had just defeated Communist forces in a civil war. Web1 February 2022 Turkey Neg We negate the resolution. The U.S. should adjust its In particular, Turkey has violated the principles of the North Atlantic Treatys foreword and Article 2, in which NATO nations agree to promote stability and eliminate conflicts in international economic policies, in its interventionism in Syria, clashes with France and Greece, and its dealings with Russia. Turkey may need further assurances from NATO to avoid vulnerabilities and limit possibly hostile Russian actions. However he cautioned that a new government and parliament would not be in place before mid-June, roughly a month before the summit, and there might not be enough time to ratify the application. Dr. Peter Vincent Pry was chief of staff of the Congressional EMP Commission and served on the staff of the House Armed Services Committee and at the CIA. A False Protagonist: Turkish Duplicity is Undermining NATO As NATO turns focus to China, embracing Turkey becomes challenge (2021). This tension between the governments has refueled the debate on Turkey breaking up with NATO. Indeed, analysts and journalists in the United States have been questioning Turkeys ties with the alliance for a long time. Read: The Trump administration doesnt care about allies. WebResolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (February PF) Evidence and Bibliography - DebateUS Call/text: (617) 682 If NATO were to remove Turkey from its ranks, it could solidify the Alliances goals and standards for membership, and possibly dissuade Erdogan from acting with impunity on the world stage. However, officials such as Senator Jim Risch (R-Idaho) were far more candid about the purchase's implications. NATO could still maintain its presence in the Gulf States though carrier groups, thereby eliminating their reliance on Turkey. Washingtons foreign policy elites are so fixated on recent Kurdish contributions to defeating the Islamic State (ISIS) that they seem to have forgotten Turkeys much longer record as an ally of the U.S. and NATO: Turkeys membership in NATO quelled the long cycle of conflicts and wars with Greece, also a NATO member. However, the United States has initiated its withdrawal from Erdogan even has threatened to develop nuclear weapons, which justifies withdrawing U.S. tactical nuclear weapons from Turkey. Beikta came from behind to beat Turkish Sper Lig leader Galatasaray 3-1 on April 30 night, throwing itself back in the trophy race with six weeks to go. This may draw relevance away from Turkey, who previously provided airbases to support NATO forces in the region. This article identifies the many ways Turkey is undermining NATOs interests and claims the conflicts between NATO and Turkey cannot be resolved. For Biden and NATO, Turkey is a Headache Thats Here to Stay (2021). Russia did not reverse all sanctions after the apology, as a reminder of their displeasure. Unless there is a sudden change in Turkeys position, the negotiations seem likely to move forward on the delivery of the S-400s in July by Russia and the implementation of sanctions by the United States. As a sophisticated weapon system, the producer reserves the possibility to meddle with and hinder the use of the system. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Turkey still contributes to the Resolute Support Mission in Afghanistan and NATOs peacekeeping operation in Kosovo. The shift was so sudden, it left officials at the State Department and the Pentagon scrambling to explain it and contain the fallout. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Peter Pry, opinion contributor - 10/23/19 3:00 PM ET, by Alexander J. Motyl, Opinion Contributor, by Kyle A. Jaros and Sara A. 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on balance turkey's membership is beneficial to nato